Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 52.886524 59.320242 66.015712 73.486008 81.570163 90.037009 99.557251
2024-10-13 42.807141 52.215201 62.600281 74.834725 88.772046 104.074636 122.064051
2024-10-20 36.810436 47.645903 60.106426 75.333043 93.270504 113.564618 138.088972
2024-10-27 31.084723 42.528543 56.194014 73.450951 94.387614 118.694156 148.759989
2024-11-03 28.785888 41.192080 56.459789 76.242412 100.792286 129.854747 166.432893
2024-11-10 26.332043 39.344723 55.824394 77.696802 105.410563 138.803979 181.492465
2024-11-17 23.650333 36.906443 54.179378 77.649110 107.987894 145.163756 193.387848
2024-11-24 22.427435 36.293601 54.792629 80.413935 114.071502 155.869030 210.716940
2024-12-01 20.328401 34.257693 53.331132 80.303608 116.354284 161.764529 222.081789
2024-12-08 18.186889 31.961361 51.332076 79.305404 117.342460 165.929634 231.236475
2024-12-15 16.605206 30.346712 50.152420 79.304744 119.562417 171.630035 242.351149
2024-12-22 15.239357 28.936811 49.154566 79.459809 121.924116 177.488142 253.694443
2024-12-29 14.739219 28.879206 50.157688 82.521983 128.399737 188.983030 272.707450
2025-01-05 13.717689 27.899156 49.731758 83.507905 132.030519 196.782031 287.044009
2025-01-12 12.708184 26.841742 49.103580 84.128188 135.107222 203.834263 300.442176
2025-01-19 11.185865 24.762569 46.756167 82.071028 134.284576 205.533734 306.679160
2025-01-26 10.906560 24.840920 47.797010 85.104627 140.773766 217.275749 326.499422
2025-02-02 10.345080 24.357442 47.896095 86.682821 145.167024 226.180630 342.590655
2025-02-09 9.511067 23.291504 46.975278 86.631127 147.147927 231.742992 354.188576
2025-02-16 9.305522 23.401624 48.001329 89.630351 153.661864 243.703934 374.653578
2025-02-23 8.563093 22.396503 47.084545 89.510713 155.513642 249.120739 386.178127
2025-03-02 7.725577 21.115605 45.613467 88.428093 155.861150 252.377058 394.720872
2025-03-09 7.127457 20.266297 44.840494 88.427378 157.815325 257.917631 406.471592